Gold Technical Analysis – October 17, 2025: Egyptian Stocks vs Gold’s 67% Rally

Gold Technical Analysis After the October 17, 2025 Session – Comparing Gold’s Rise with Egyptian Stocks

This article is a detailed summary of the Arabic YouTube video recently published by Adel Onsi. The video provided a comprehensive technical analysis of gold after the trading session on Friday, October 17, 2025, and explored a broader question: “Has gold been the best-performing investment in 2025, or have other assets outperformed it?” The discussion blended technical insight with real-world performance comparisons between gold and top-performing Egyptian stocks.

1. Overview of Gold’s Performance in 2025

1. Gold’s Trading Range on October 17, 2025:
   During Friday’s trading session, gold recorded strong volatility:
   • Lowest price: $4,186 per ounce
   • Highest price: $4,379 per ounce
   This wide range confirmed that bullish momentum has continued throughout the year.
2. Achievement of the Previous Target:
   The upward target set in the September 30, 2025 gold analysis — $4,225 per ounce — was successfully reached during the recent sessions.
3. Annual Gain in 2025:
   Gold started 2025 around $2,621 per ounce and peaked at $4,379 by mid-October — a stunning +67% increase within ten months, marking one of the strongest yearly performances in modern history.

2. Comparing Gold’s Rally with Egyptian Stock Market Performances

While gold impressed many investors in 2025, several Egyptian Exchange (EGX) stocks have actually matched or even exceeded its performance. Below are three standout examples from the Egyptian market:

1. Egypt Aluminum (EGX: EGAL):
   
   • Starting price (January 2025): EGP 115
   • Highest price (March 2025): EGP 195
   • Percentage gain: +68%
   • Including dividends, total return exceeded 70%.
   

   Chart: Egypt Aluminum price movement in 2025 showing a 68% rise and dividend impact.

2. Cairo Poultry (EGX: POUL):
   
   • Starting price: EGP 13
   • October high: EGP 25.80
   • Total increase: +88%
   This performance shows that even defensive sectors like food production can outperform gold during favorable market conditions.
   

   Chart: Cairo Poultry share movement from January to October 2025 highlighting its 88% surge.

3. International Federation of Agricultural Crops (EGX: IFAP):
   
   • January 2025 low: EGP 7
   • July 2025 high: EGP 26
   • Percentage increase: +248.5%
   A remarkable performance that demonstrates how mid-cap Egyptian stocks can multiply in value, far surpassing gold’s 67% rise.
   

   Chart: IFAP stock showing a 248% surge between January and July 2025.

3. Key Lessons from the Comparison

• Gold is mainly a store of value, not a rapid-growth investment.
• Equities, especially in emerging markets, can achieve superior capital gains when conditions are right.
• Successful investing means understanding your tools, not following hype or headlines.
• Between 2022–2025, Misr Aluminum rose 1,340% and Cairo Poultry 1,133%, proving equities can outperform gold long-term.

4. Technical Analysis of Gold (as of October 17, 2025)

1. Confirmed Bullish Breakout: Gold broke above its $3,805 resistance, fulfilling the prior target at $4,225 (see September 30 analysis).
2. Chart Timeframe: All levels are based on the daily chart, offering medium-term reliability.
3. Key Technical Levels:
   • First Support: $4,225 – turned from resistance to support.
   • Second Support: $4,125 – potential retest area.
   • Major Stop-Loss: $4,000 – a decisive level separating uptrend from reversal.
4. No New Upside Targets: The previous objectives ($4,282–$4,360) have been fully reached. Awaiting new pattern formation for next projections.

5. Broader Outlook and Trend Direction

• Gold remains bullish as long as it trades above $4,000.
• Breaking below $4,000 could trigger a correction phase.
• No bearish signals yet, though short-term consolidation may occur.

6. Summary of Key Technical Levels

Technical Level	Price (USD/oz)	Description
First Support	4,225	Turned from resistance into support
Second Support	4,125	Intermediate pullback level
Major Stop-Loss	4,000	Breaking below signals possible trend reversal
Previous Target (Achieved)	4,225	Target reached as forecasted in the September 30 analysis

7. Final Thoughts

Gold continues to act as a strategic hedge and wealth preserver, but diversification into equities — especially in outperforming markets like Egypt — can deliver exceptional growth potential. As of now, the $4,000/oz level remains the most critical line to monitor for trend confirmation.

📘 Disclaimer

This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or investment recommendations. Always conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.

🎥 Optional: Watch the Original Arabic Video

This video is the original Arabic version of the analysis presented above. The current article provides the complete English summary for international readers.

▶️ Watch on YouTube