Tesla Stock Technical Analysis – October 7, 2025
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) remains one of the most influential stocks in the U.S. equity market, listed on the NASDAQ exchange and included among the top constituents of both the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ-100 indices. As of today, Tesla holds an estimated 2.02% weight within the S&P 500 and around 3.31% within the NASDAQ-100 — confirming its major impact on overall market movement.
Image includes Tesla’s logo under Fair Use policy for educational and analytical purposes only.
Market Overview:
Tesla’s stock closed yesterday’s trading session at $453.25, marking a
strong bullish continuation from its recent consolidation zone. The session
opened at $440.75, reached a high of $453.55, and dipped to a
low of $436.69, showing clear upward momentum throughout the day.
The 14-day moving average currently stands at $430.09, acting as short-term dynamic support. Meanwhile, the 50-day moving average is near $381.78, confirming a broader uptrend structure that has been strengthening since late August 2025. The stock remains well above both averages, signaling sustained buying interest.
Historically, Tesla’s highest recorded peak was in December 2024 at approximately $488.54. With the recent recovery momentum, the stock is now approaching that resistance zone, where profit-taking or volatility may increase if buyers hesitate to break through that psychological barrier.
Key Technical Levels:
- Immediate support: $440.00 – $436.50
- Secondary support: $430.00 (14-day MA)
- Immediate resistance: $454.00 – $460.00
- Major resistance: $488.50 (December 2024 high)
Momentum indicators suggest continued positive bias, with price holding above short-term moving averages and volume confirming the bullish tone. However, traders should watch for potential exhaustion signals near the upper range, as the RSI is likely entering overbought territory.
Chart Interpretation:
On the monthly timeframe, Tesla’s chart clearly shows a major breakout
above the $217 level during September 2024. This breakout was
confirmed by a full bullish candlestick, setting a projected target near
$484 — a target that was successfully reached in December 2024.
Following that, the stock experienced a classic throwback move to
retest the breakout level around $217 in March 2025. The price
reacted strongly from this support zone, launching a new bullish leg upward —
a textbook rebound from a major structural support.
Monthly chart highlighting Tesla’s major breakout above 217 and its subsequent rebound from the same support level.
On the daily timeframe, the price action between March and April 2025 formed a clear double-bottom pattern. The bullish confirmation came in May 2025 when Tesla broke above the neckline near $292, triggering a measured target around $365 — which was achieved by the end of May. The short-term pullback in June 2025 was another throwback move to retest the breakout zone around $292, from which the stock once again rebounded sharply upward.
Daily chart showing the double-bottom formation between March and April 2025 and the bullish breakout above 292.
During the latest upward rally, Tesla also formed two notable price gaps: the first between $368.99 and $370.24, and the second between $396.69 and $402.43. These gaps now act as potential support zones in case of future downward corrections. Such unfilled gaps often serve as reference areas where buying pressure may reappear.
Daily chart illustrating the two bullish gaps that now represent potential support areas on future pullbacks.
Overall, the $484 region — the stock’s previous all-time high — remains the most critical resistance target ahead. A confirmed breakout above this zone could open the way for new historical highs, while any failure to hold above short-term supports might trigger a temporary consolidation phase.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
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